Implementing a Bundle for Evidence-based Cesarean Delivery May Not Be As Beneficial as Expected: A Multi-center, Pre- and Post- Study.

BACKGROUND: Standardization of procedures improves outcomes. Though systematic reviews have summarized the evidence-based steps (EBS) of cesarean delivery (CD), their bundled implementation has not been investigated. OBJECTIVE: In this pre- and post-implementation trial, we sought to ascertain if bundled EBS of CD, compared to surgeon's preference, improves outcomes. STUDY DESIGN: A StaRI (Standards for Reporting Implementation Studies) compliant, multi-center pre- and post-implementation trial at 4 teaching hospitals was conducted. The pre-implementation period consisted of CD done based on the physicians' preferences for 3 months; educational intervention (e.g., didactics, badge cards, posters, video) occurred at the 4th month. CDs in post-implementation period employed the bundled EBS. A pre-planned 10% randomized audit of both groups assessed adherence and uptake of EBS. The primary outcome was a composite maternal morbidity (CMM), which included estimated blood loss > 1,000 mL, blood transfusion, endometritis, post-partum fever, wound complications, sepsis, thrombosis, ICU admission, hysterectomy, or death. The secondary outcome was a composite neonatal morbidity (CNM) and some of its components were 5-min Apgar score < 7, positive pressure oxygen use, hypoglycemia, or sepsis. A priori Bayesian sample size calculation indicated 700 CD in each group was needed to demonstrate 20% relative reduction (from 15% to 12%) of CMM with 75% certainty. Bayesian logistic regression with neutral priors was used to calculate likelihood of net-improvement in adjusted relative risk (aRR) with 95% credible intervals (CrI). RESULTS: A total of 1,425 consecutive CD (721 in pre- and 704 in post-implementation group) were examined. Audited data indicated that the baseline EBS utilization rate during the pre-implementation period was 79%; after the implementation bundled EBS of CD the audited adherence was 89%-an uptake of 10.0% of the EBS. In four aspects, the maternal characteristics differed significantly in the pre- and post-implementation periods: race/ethnicity, hypertensive disorder, and the relative contribution of the 4 centers to the cohorts and the gestational age at delivery, but the indications for CD and whether its duration was < versus > 60 min did not. The rates of CMM in the pre- and post-implementation groups were 26% and 22%, respectively (aRR, 0.88; 95% CrI, 0.73-1.04), with a 94 % Bayesian probability of a reduction in CMM. The CNM occurred in 37% of the pre- and in 41% of the post-implementation group (aRR, 1.12; 95% CrI 0.98-1.39), with a 95% Bayesian probability of worsening in CNM. When CMM were segregated by preterm (<37 wks) and term (> 37 weeks) CD, the improvement in maternal outcomes persisted; when CNM were segregated by gestational age subgroupsthe potential for worsening neonatal outcomes persisted as well. CONCLUSIONS: Standardization of the evidence-based bundled steps of cesarean delivery resulted in a modest reduction of the composite maternal outcome; however, a paradoxical increase in neonatal composite morbidity was noted. Although individual evidence-based steps may be of value, while awaiting additional intervention trials a formal bundling of such steps is currently not recommended.

Indicated versus universal third trimester ultrasound examination in low-risk pregnancies: a pre- and post-intervention study.

BACKGROUND: In low-risk pregnancies, third trimester ultrasound examination is indicated if fundal height measurement and gestational age discrepancy is observed. Despite potential improvement in detection of ultrasound abnormality, prior trials to date on universal third trimester ultrasound examination in low-risk pregnancies, compared to indicated ultrasound examination, have not demonstrated improvement in neonatal or maternal adverse outcomes. OBJECTIVE: The primary objective was to determine if universal third trimester ultrasound examination in low-risk pregnancies could attenuate composite neonatal adverse outcome. The secondary objectives were to compare change in composite maternal adverse outcomes and detection of abnormalities of fetal growth (fetal growth restriction or large for gestational age) or amniotic fluid (oligo- or poly-hydramnios). STUDY DESIGN: Our pre- and post-intervention study at 9 locations included low-risk pregnancies; those without indication for ultrasound examination in the third trimester. Compared to indicated ultrasound in the pre-implementation period, in the post-implementation period all patients were scheduled for ultrasound examination at 36.0 - 37.6 weeks. In both periods clinicians intervened based on abnormalities identified. Composite neonatal adverse outcomes included any of: Apgar score ≤ 5 at 5 min, cord pH < 7.00, birth trauma (bone fracture or brachial plexus palsy), intubation for > 24 hours, hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy, seizure, sepsis (bacteremia proven with blood culture), meconium aspiration syndrome, intraventricular hemorrhage grade III or IV, periventricular leukomalacia, necrotizing enterocolitis, stillbirth after 36 weeks, or neonatal death within 28 days of birth. Composite maternal adverse outcomes included any of: chorioamnionitis, wound infection, estimated blood loss >1000mL, blood transfusion, deep venous thrombus or pulmonary embolism, admission to intensive care unit, or death. Using Bayesian statistics, we calculated a sample size of 600 individuals in each arm to detect >75% probability of any reduction in primary outcome, (80% power; 50% hypothesized risk reduction). RESULTS: During the pre-intervention phase, 747 individuals were identified during the initial ultrasound examination and among them 568 (76.0%) met the inclusion criteria at 36.0 to 37.6 weeks; during the post-intervention period, the corresponding numbers were 770 and 661 (85.8%). The rate of identified abnormalities of fetal growth or of amniotic fluid increased from between pre- and post-intervention period (7.1% versus 22.2%, p< 0.0001; number needed to diagnose, 7; 95% confidence interval, 5-9). The primary outcome occurred in 15 of 568 (2.6%) individuals in the pre- and 12 of 661 (1.8%) in the post-intervention group (83% probability of risk reduction, posterior relative risk, 0.69; 95% credible interval, 0.34-1.42). The composite maternal adverse outcomes occurred in 8.6% in the pre- and 6.5% in post-intervention group (90% probability of risk (posterior relative risk, 0.74; 95% credible interval, 0.49-1.15). The number needed to treat to reduce composite neonatal adverse outcomes was 121 (95% confidence interval, 40-200), to reduce composite maternal adverse outcomes was 46 (95% confidence interval, 19-74), and to prevent cesarean delivery was 18 (95% confidence interval, 9-31). CONCLUSION: Among low-risk pregnancies, compared to routine care with indicated ultrasound examination, implementation of a universal third-trimester ultrasound examination at 36.0-37.6 weeks attenuated composite neonatal and maternal adverse outcomes.

Effect of Early vs Late Inguinal Hernia Repair on Serious Adverse Event Rates in Preterm Infants: A Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Inguinal hernia repair in preterm infants is common and is associated with considerable morbidity. Whether the inguinal hernia should be repaired prior to or after discharge from the neonatal intensive care unit is controversial. Objective: To evaluate the safety of early vs late surgical repair for preterm infants with an inguinal hernia. Design, Setting, and Participants: A multicenter randomized clinical trial including preterm infants with inguinal hernia diagnosed during initial hospitalization was conducted between September 2013 and April 2021 at 39 US hospitals. Follow-up was completed on January 3, 2023. Interventions: In the early repair strategy, infants underwent inguinal hernia repair before neonatal intensive care unit discharge. In the late repair strategy, hernia repair was planned after discharge from the neonatal intensive care unit and when the infants were older than 55 weeks' postmenstrual age. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was occurrence of any prespecified serious adverse event during the 10-month observation period (determined by a blinded adjudication committee). The secondary outcomes included the total number of days in the hospital during the 10-month observation period. Results: Among the 338 randomized infants (172 in the early repair group and 166 in the late repair group), 320 underwent operative repair (86% were male; 2% were Asian, 30% were Black, 16% were Hispanic, 59% were White, and race and ethnicity were unknown in 9% and 4%, respectively; the mean gestational age at birth was 26.6 weeks [SD, 2.8 weeks]; the mean postnatal age at enrollment was 12 weeks [SD, 5 weeks]). Among 308 infants (91%) with complete data (159 in the early repair group and 149 in the late repair group), 44 (28%) in the early repair group vs 27 (18%) in the late repair group had at least 1 serious adverse event (risk difference, -7.9% [95% credible interval, -16.9% to 0%]; 97% bayesian posterior probability of benefit with late repair). The median number of days in the hospital during the 10-month observation period was 19.0 days (IQR, 9.8 to 35.0 days) in the early repair group vs 16.0 days (IQR, 7.0 to 38.0 days) in the late repair group (82% posterior probability of benefit with late repair). In the prespecified subgroup analyses, the probability that late repair reduced the number of infants with at least 1 serious adverse event was higher in infants with a gestational age younger than 28 weeks and in those with bronchopulmonary dysplasia (99% probability of benefit in each subgroup). Conclusions and Relevance: Among preterm infants with inguinal hernia, the late repair strategy resulted in fewer infants having at least 1 serious adverse event. These findings support delaying inguinal hernia repair until after initial discharge from the neonatal intensive care unit. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01678638.

Bloodstream infections after solid organ transplantation: clinical epidemiology and antimicrobial resistance (2016-21).

Background: Solid organ transplant (SOT) recipients are at risk of bloodstream infections (BSIs) with MDR organisms (MDROs). Objectives: To describe the epidemiology of BSI in the year after several types of SOT, as well as the prevalence of MDRO infections in this population. Methods: We conducted a single-centre, retrospective study of kidney, liver, heart, and multi-organ transplantation patients. We examined BSIs ≤1 year from SOT and classified MDRO phenotypes for Staphylococcus aureus, enterococci, Enterobacterales, Pseudomonas aeruginosa and Candida spp. We compared BSI characteristics between SOT types and determined risk factors for 90 day mortality. Results: We included 2293 patients [1251 (54.6%) kidney, 663 (28.9%) liver, 219 (9.6%) heart and 160 (7.0%) multi-organ transplant]. Overall, 8.5% of patients developed a BSI. BSIs were most common after multi-organ (23.1%) and liver (11.3%) transplantation (P < 0.001). Among 196 patients with BSI, 323 unique isolates were recovered, 147 (45.5%) of which were MDROs. MDROs were most common after liver transplant (53.4%). The most frequent MDROs were VRE (69.8% of enterococci) and ESBL-producing and carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales (29.2% and 27.2% of Enterobacterales, respectively). Mortality after BSI was 9.7%; VRE was independently associated with mortality (adjusted OR 6.0, 95% CI 1.7-21.3). Conclusions: BSI incidence after SOT was 8.5%, with a high proportion of MDROs (45.5%), especially after liver transplantation. These data, in conjunction with local antimicrobial resistance patterns and prescribing practices, may help guide empirical antimicrobial selection and stewardship practices after SOT.

Proximity extension assay proteomics and renal single cell transcriptomics uncover novel urinary biomarkers for active lupus nephritis.

OBJECTIVE: To identify urinary biomarkers that can distinguish active renal involvement in Lupus Nephritis (LN), a severe manifestation of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). METHODS: Urine from 117 subjects, comprised of inactive SLE, active non-renal lupus, active LN, and healthy controls, were subjected to Proximity Extension Assay (PEA) based comprehensive proteomics followed by ELISA validation in an independent, ethnically diverse cohort. Proteomic data is also cross-referenced to renal transcriptomic data to elucidate cellular origins of biomarkers. RESULTS: Systems biology analyses revealed progressive activation of cytokine signaling, chemokine activity and coagulation pathways, with worsening renal disease. In addition to validating 30 previously reported biomarkers, this study uncovers several novel candidates. Following ELISA validation in an independent cohort of different ethnicity, the six most discriminatory biomarkers for active LN were urinary ICAM-2, FABP4, FASLG, IGFBP-2, SELE and TNFSF13B/BAFF, with ROC AUC ≥80%, with most correlating strongly with clinical disease activity. Transcriptomic analyses of LN kidneys mapped the likely origin of these proteins to intra-renal myeloid cells (CXCL16, IL-1RT2, TNFSF13B/BAFF), T/NK cells (FASLG), leukocytes (ICAM2) and endothelial cells (SELE). CONCLUSION: In addition to confirming the diagnostic potential of urine ALCAM, CD163, MCP1, SELL, ICAM1, VCAM1, NGAL and TWEAK for active LN, this study adds urine ICAM-2, FABP4, FASLG, IGFBP-2, SELE, and TNFSF13B/BAFF as additional markers that warrant systematic validation in larger cross-sectional and longitudinal cohorts.

A Prospective Observational Study of Disease Severity and Mortality in Hispanic American Patients With Systemic Sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize disease manifestations in Hispanic American patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) in comparison with non-Hispanic White and Black patients. METHODS: Longitudinal clinical characteristics were collected prospectively in the Genetics versus Environment in Scleroderma Outcome Study cohort. All patients fulfilled the classification criteria for SSc and had a disease duration less than five years at enrollment. RESULTS: A cohort of 427 patients, consisting of 124 Hispanic, 220 non-Hispanic White, and 83 non-Hispanic Black participants were examined. At enrollment, Hispanic patients were significantly younger but had longer disease duration, higher frequency of U1-RNP positivity as well as concurrent systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) diagnosis, and lower income and educational levels in comparison to non-Hispanic White patients. Compared with non-Hispanic Black patients, Hispanic patients had more frequently limited cutaneous involvement and anticentromere antibodies. In the longitudinal analysis, Hispanic patients had significantly lower forced vital capacity percents predicted (point estimate, -9.3%; P < 0.001) than non-Hispanic White but not Black patients. Hispanic patients had similar longitudinal modified Rodnan Skin Scores like non-Hispanic White patients but lower measurements than non-Hispanic Black patients (point estimate, -3.2; P = 0.029). Hispanic patients had significantly higher serially obtained perceived functional disability scores than White patients (point estimate, 0.29; P < 0.001). Hispanic patients also had higher mortality rates than White Americans even after adjustment for age, gender, and socioeconomic statuses. CONCLUSION: Hispanic patients have higher likelihood of having U1-RNP positivity and SLE overlap, more severe restrictive lung disease, as well as higher rate of mortality than non-Hispanic White patients.

Autologous bone marrow mononuclear cells to treat severe traumatic brain injury in children.

Autologous bone marrow mononuclear cells (BMMNCs) infused after severe traumatic brain injury have shown promise for treating the injury. We evaluated their impact in children, particularly their hypothesized ability to preserve the blood-brain barrier and diminish neuroinflammation, leading to structural central nervous system preservation with improved outcomes. We performed a randomized, double-blind, placebo-sham-controlled Bayesian dose-escalation clinical trial at 2 children's hospitals in Houston, TX and Phoenix, AZ, USA (NCT01851083). Patients 5-17 years of age with severe traumatic brain injury (Glasgow Coma Scale ≤ 8) were randomized to BMMNC or placebo (3:2). Bone marrow harvest, cell isolation, and infusion were completed by 48 hours post-injury. Bayesian continuous reassessment method was used with cohorts of size 3 in the BMMNC group to choose the safest between 2 doses. Primary endpoints were quantitative brain volumes using magnetic resonance imaging and microstructural integrity of the corpus callosum (CC; diffusivity and edema measurements) at 6 months and 12 months. Long-term functional outcomes and ventilator days, intracranial pressure monitoring days, intensive care unit days, and therapeutic intensity measures were compared between groups. Forty-seven patients were randomized, with 37 completing 1-year follow-up (23 BMMNC, 14 placebo). BMMNC treatment was associated with an almost 3-day (23%) reduction in ventilator days, 1-day (16%) reduction in intracranial pressure monitoring, and 3-day (14%) reduction in intensive care unit (ICU) days. White matter volume at 1 year in the BMMNC group was significantly preserved compared to placebo (decrease of 19891 vs 40491, respectively; mean difference of -20600, 95% CI: -35868 to -5332; P = 0.01), and the number of CC streamlines was reduced more in placebo than BMMNC, supporting evidence of preserved CC connectivity in the treated groups (-431 streamlines placebo vs. -37 streamlines BMMNC; mean difference of -394, 95% CI: -803 to 15; P = 0.055), but this did not reach statistical significance due to high variability. We conclude that autologous BMMNC infusion in children within 48 hours after severe traumatic brain injury is safe and feasible. Our data show that BMMNC infusion led to 1) shorter intensive care duration and decreased ICU intensity; 2) white matter structural preservation; and 3) enhanced CC connectivity and improved microstructural metrics.

We are moving the needle: Improving racial disparities in immediate breast reconstruction.

BACKGROUND: Although racial disparities in receipt of immediate breast reconstruction (IBR) have been previously reported, prior studies may not have fully assessed the impact of recent advocacy efforts as healthcare disparities gain increased national attention. The aim of this study is to assess more recent racial differences and annual trends in receiving IBR. METHODS: Using the National Surgery Quality Improvement Program database, black or white women over 18 years who underwent mastectomy from 2012 to 2021 were included. IBR was defined by undergoing mastectomy with breast reconstruction during the same anesthetic event. Propensity score analysis was utilized to balance variables between black and white patients. A multivariate logistic regression was performed to determine the effect of race on the odds of receiving IBR. RESULTS: The annual percentage of white patients receiving IBR remained stable at around 50% throughout the study period. The annual percentage of black patients receiving IBR increased from 34% in 2012 to 49% in 2021. Compared with white patients, black patients had lower odds of receiving IBR during the entire study period (odds ratio 0.57, 95% confidence interval 0.49-0.67). When assessing annual trends, black patients were less likely to receive IBR each year from 2012 to 2017. By 2021, both races had similar odds of IBR. CONCLUSIONS: Although racial disparities in IBR have been longstanding, this study demonstrates that the racial gap appears to be closing. This may be because of increased awareness of racial disparities and their impact on patient outcomes.

Ambulation for latency during expectant management of preterm prelabor rupture of membranes: a randomized controlled trial (AMBLE).

BACKGROUND: Individuals hospitalized with preterm prelabor rupture of membranes are often advised to limit their activity or adhere to bed rest. Some evidence suggests that greater activity is associated with longer latency and improved outcomes, but no high-quality evidence from a randomized controlled trial exists. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate whether encouragement to ambulate at least 2000 steps daily affects latency among individuals with preterm prelabor rupture of membranes compared with usual care. STUDY DESIGN: This was a multisite unblinded, 2-arm randomized trial of individuals at 23 0/7 to 35 0/7 weeks of gestation undergoing inpatient expectant management of preterm prelabor rupture of membranes with planned delivery at least 7 days away. Each participant wore a Fitbit Inspire that tracked steps. The intervention arm was encouraged (verbal and Fitbit-based reminders) to reach a goal of 2000 steps per day. The usual-care arm was allowed ad libitum activity with no step goal or reminders. The primary outcome was latency (days) from randomization to delivery. Secondary analyses included composite neonatal and maternal clinical outcomes and maternal mental health survey results. Statistical analyses were conducted with an intent-to-treat approach under a Bayesian framework using neutral priors (a priori assumed 50:50 likelihood of longer latency in either arm). A total of 100 participants were required to have 80% power to demonstrate a 4-day difference in latency with 75% certainty (Bayesian probability). RESULTS: Among 163 eligible individuals, 100 (61%) were randomized, and after loss to follow-up, 95 were analyzed. Gestational age at randomization was 29 3/7 weeks (interquartile range, 26 2/7 to 31 5/7) in the intervention arm and 27 4/7 weeks (interquartile range, 25 4/7 to 29 6/7) in the usual-care arm. Median step counts were 1690 per day in the intervention arm (interquartile range, 1031-2641) and 1338 per day in the usual-care arm (interquartile range, 784-1913). Median days of latency were 9 days in the intervention arm (interquartile range, 4-17) and 6 days in the usual-care arm (interquartile range, 2-14). The primary analysis indicated a 65% posterior probability that the intervention increased latency relative to usual care (posterior relative risk, 1.09; 95% credible interval, 0.70-1.71). The relative risk was 0.55 (95% credible interval, 0.32-0.82) for the composite neonatal adverse outcome, with 99% posterior probability of intervention benefit, and was 0.94 (95% credible interval, 0.72-1.20) for the composite maternal adverse outcome, with 70% posterior probability of intervention benefit. There was a 94% posterior probability of the intervention arm having a greater decrease in maternal stress score from baseline to before delivery compared with the usual-care arm (mean arm difference, 3.24 points [95% credible interval, -7.23 to 0.79]). Adjustment for gestational age at randomization had minimal impact on secondary outcome results. CONCLUSION: Individuals with preterm prelabor rupture of membranes randomized to encouragement to ambulate had a longer latency to delivery and improved neonatal and mental health outcomes, with similar maternal clinical outcomes compared with usual care.

Identifying the white matter pathways involved in multiple sclerosis-related tremor using diffusion tensor imaging.

Background: Tremor affects up to 45% of patients with Multiple Sclerosis (PwMS). Current understanding is based on insights from other neurological disorders, thus, not fully addressing the distinctive aspects of MS pathology. Objective: To characterize the brain white matter (WM) correlates of MS-related tremor using diffusion tensor imaging (DTI). Methods: In a prospective case-control study, PwMS with tremor were assessed for tremor severity and underwent MRI scans including DTI. PwMS without tremor served as matched controls. After tract selection and segmentation, the resulting diffusivity measures were used to calculate group differences and correlations with tremor severity. Results: This study included 72 PwMS. The tremor group (n = 36) exhibited significant changes in several pathways, notably in the right inferior longitudinal fasciculus (Cohen's d = 1.53, q < 0.001) and left corticospinal tract (d = 1.32, q < 0.001), compared to controls (n = 36). Furthermore, specific tracts showed a significant correlation with tremor severity, notably in the left medial lemniscus (Spearman's coefficient [rsp] = -0.56, p < 0.001), and forceps minor of corpus callosum (rsp = -0.45, p < 0.01). Conclusion: MS-related tremor is associated with widespread diffusivity changes in WM pathways and its severity correlates with commissural and sensory projection pathways, which suggests a role for proprioception or involvement of the dentato-rubro-olivary circuit.

First trimester anatomy ultrasound for patients with obesity: a randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Second-trimester ultrasound is the standard technique for fetal anatomy evaluation in the United States despite international guidelines and literature that suggest that first-trimester timing may be superior in patients with obesity. First-trimester imaging performs well in cohorts of participants with obesity. OBJECTIVE: Our aim was to compare the completion rate of a first-trimester fetal anatomy ultrasound scan with that of a second-trimester fetal anatomy ultrasound scan among pregnant people with a body mass index ≥35 kg/m2. STUDY DESIGN: This randomized controlled trial enrolled participants with a body mass index ≥35 kg/m2 with a singleton gestation and who presented before 14+0/7 weeks of gestation. Participants were randomized to receive an ultrasound assessment of anatomy at either 12+0/7 to 13+6/7 weeks or at 18+0/7 to 22+6/7 weeks. The primary outcome was completion rate (percentage of scans that optimally imaged all the required fetal structures). Secondary outcomes included the necessity of a transvaginal approach, completion rates for each individual view, number of anomalies identified and missed in each group, scan duration, and patient perspectives. A 1-year pilot sample was analyzed using Bayesian methods for the primary outcome with a neutral prior and frequentist analyses for the remaining outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 128 participants were enrolled, and 1 withdrew consent; 62 subjects underwent a first-trimester ultrasound scan and 62 underwent a second-trimester ultrasound scan. A total of 2 participants did not attend the research visits, and 1 sought termination of pregnancy. In the first-trimester group, 66% (41/62) of ultrasound scans were completed in comparison with 53% (33/62) in the second-trimester ultrasound group (Bayesian relative risk, 1.20; 95% credible interval, 0.91-1.73). When compared with a second-trimester scan plus a follow-up ultrasound, a first-trimester ultrasound plus a second-trimester ultrasound was equally successful in completing the anatomy views (76%). First-trimester anatomy ultrasound scans required a transvaginal approach in 63% (39/62) of cases and had a longer duration than a second-trimester ultrasound scan. No anomalies were missed in either group. First-trimester ultrasound participants who responded to a survey described that they were very satisfied with the technique. CONCLUSION: In pregnant subjects with a body mass index ≥35 kg/m2, a single first-trimester anatomy ultrasound scan was more likely to obtain all the recommended anatomic views than a single second-trimester ultrasound scan. An evaluation of anatomy at 12+0/7 to 13+6/7 weeks' gestation plus an evaluation at 18+0/7 to 22+6/7 led to complete anatomic evaluation 4 weeks earlier than 2 second trimester scans. Assessment of ultrasound duration in a clinical setting is needed to ensure feasibility outside of a research setting.

Evaluation of negative binomial and zero-inflated negative binomial models for the analysis of zero-inflated count data: application to the telemedicine for children with medical complexity trial.

BACKGROUND: Two characteristics of commonly used outcomes in medical research are zero inflation and non-negative integers; examples include the number of hospital admissions or emergency department visits, where the majority of patients will have zero counts. Zero-inflated regression models were devised to analyze this type of data. However, the performance of zero-inflated regression models or the properties of data best suited for these analyses have not been thoroughly investigated. METHODS: We conducted a simulation study to evaluate the performance of two generalized linear models, negative binomial and zero-inflated negative binomial, for analyzing zero-inflated count data. Simulation scenarios assumed a randomized controlled trial design and varied the true underlying distribution, sample size, and rate of zero inflation. We compared the models in terms of bias, mean squared error, and coverage. Additionally, we used logistic regression to determine which data properties are most important for predicting the best-fitting model. RESULTS: We first found that, regardless of the rate of zero inflation, there was little difference between the conventional negative binomial and its zero-inflated counterpart in terms of bias of the marginal treatment group coefficient. Second, even when the outcome was simulated from a zero-inflated distribution, a negative binomial model was favored above its ZI counterpart in terms of the Akaike Information Criterion. Third, the mean and skewness of the non-zero part of the data were stronger predictors of model preference than the percentage of zero counts. These results were not affected by the sample size, which ranged from 60 to 800. CONCLUSIONS: We recommend that the rate of zero inflation and overdispersion in the outcome should not be the sole and main justification for choosing zero-inflated regression models. Investigators should also consider other data characteristics when choosing a model for count data. In addition, if the performance of the NB and ZINB regression models is reasonably comparable even with ZI outcomes, we advocate the use of the NB regression model due to its clear and straightforward interpretation of the results.

Pragmatic, randomized, blinded trial to shorten pharmacologic treatment of newborns with neonatal opioid withdrawal syndrome (NOWS).

BACKGROUND: The incidence of maternal opioid use in the USA has increased substantially since 2000. As a consequence of opioid use during pregnancy, the incidence of neonatal opioid withdrawal syndrome (NOWS) has increased fivefold between 2002 and 2012. Pharmacological therapy is indicated when signs of NOWS cannot be controlled, and the objective of pharmacological therapy is to control NOWS signs. Once pharmacologic therapy has started, there is great variability in strategies to wean infants. An important rationale for studying weaning of pharmacological treatment for NOWS is that weaning represents the longest time interval of drug treatment. Stopping medications too early may not completely treat NOWS symptoms. METHODS: This will be a pragmatic, randomized, blinded trial of opioid weaning to determine whether more rapid weaning, compared to slow wean, will reduce the number of days of opioid treatment in infants receiving morphine or methadone as the primary treatment for NOWS. DISCUSSION: The proposed study is a pragmatic trial to determine whether a rapid-weaning intervention reduces the number of days of opioid treatment, compared to a slow-weaning intervention, and we powered the proposed study to detect a 2-day difference in the length of treatment. Hospitals will be able to use either morphine or methadone with the knowledge that we may find a positive treatment effect for both, one, or neither drugs. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT04214834. Registered January 2, 2020.

Effect of reduced versus usual lipid emulsion dosing on bilirubin neurotoxicity and neurodevelopmental impairment in extremely preterm infants: study protocol for a randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Bilirubin neurotoxicity (BN) occurs in premature infants at lower total serum bilirubin levels than term infants and causes neurodevelopmental impairment. Usual dose lipid infusions in preterm infants may increase free fatty acids sufficiently to cause bilirubin displacement from albumin, increasing passage of unbound bilirubin (UB) into the brain leading to BN and neurodevelopmental impairment not reliably identifiable in infancy. These risks may be influenced by whether cycled or continuous phototherapy is used to control bilirubin levels. OBJECTIVE: To assess differences in wave V latency measured by brainstem auditory evoked responses (BAER) at 34-36 weeks gestational age in infants born ≤ 750 g or < 27 weeks' gestational age randomized to receive usual or reduced dose lipid emulsion (half of the usual dose) irrespective of whether cycled or continuous phototherapy is administered. METHODS: Pilot factorial randomized controlled trial (RCT) of lipid dosing (usual and reduced) with treatment groups balanced between cycled or continuous phototherapy assignment. Eligible infants are born at ≤ 750 g or < 27 weeks' gestational age enrolled in the NICHD Neonatal Research Network RCT of cycled or continuous phototherapy. Infants will randomize 1:1 to reduced or usual dose lipid assignment during the first 2 weeks after birth and stratified by phototherapy assignment. Free fatty acids and UB will be measured daily using a novel probe. BAER testing will be performed at 34-36 weeks postmenstrual age or prior to discharge. Blinded neurodevelopmental assessments will be performed at 22-26 months. Intention-to-treat analyses will be performed with generalized linear mixed models with lipid dose and phototherapy assignments as random effects covariates, and assessment for interactions. Bayesian analyses will be performed as a secondary analysis. DISCUSSION: Pragmatic trials are needed to evaluate whether lipid emulsion dosing modifies the effect of phototherapy on BN. This factorial design presents a unique opportunity to evaluate both therapies and their interaction. This study aims to address basic controversial questions about the relationships between lipid administration, free fatty acids, UB, and BN. Findings suggesting a reduced lipid dose can diminish the risk of BN would support the need for a large multicenter RCT of reduced versus usual lipid dosing. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinical Trials.gov, NCT04584983, Registered 14 October 2020, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04584983 Protocol version: Version 3.2 (10/5/2022).

Generalizability of the Necrotizing Enterocolitis Surgery Trial to the Target Population of Eligible Infants.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to evaluate whether infants randomized in the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Neonatal Research Network Necrotizing Enterocolitis Surgery Trial differed from eligible infants and whether differences affected the generalizability of trial results. STUDY DESIGN: Secondary analysis of infants enrolled in Necrotizing Enterocolitis Surgery Trial (born 2010-2017, with follow-up through 2019) at 20 US academic medical centers and an observational data set of eligible infants through 2013. Infants born ≤1000 g and diagnosed with necrotizing enterocolitis or spontaneous intestinal perforation requiring surgical intervention at ≤8 weeks were eligible. The target population included trial-eligible infants (randomized and nonrandomized) born during the first half of the study with available detailed preoperative data. Using model-based weighting methods, we estimated the effect of initial laparotomy vs peritoneal drain had the target population been randomized. RESULTS: The trial included 308 randomized infants. The target population included 382 (156 randomized and 226 eligible, non-randomized) infants. Compared with the target population, fewer randomized infants had necrotizing enterocolitis (31% vs 47%) or died before discharge (27% vs 41%). However, incidence of the primary composite outcome, death or neurodevelopmental impairment, was similar (69% vs 72%). Effect estimates for initial laparotomy vs drain weighted to the target population were largely unchanged from the original trial after accounting for preoperative diagnosis of necrotizing enterocolitis (adjusted relative risk [95% CI]: 0.85 [0.71-1.03] in target population vs 0.81 [0.64-1.04] in trial) or spontaneous intestinal perforation (1.02 [0.79-1.30] vs 1.11 [0.95-1.31]). CONCLUSION: Despite differences between randomized and eligible infants, estimated treatment effects in the trial and target population were similar, supporting the generalizability of trial results. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT01029353.

Sex and gender differences in acute stroke care: metrics, access to treatment and outcome. A territorial analysis of the Stroke Code System of Catalonia.

INTRODUCTION: Previous studies have reported differences in the management and outcome of women stroke patients in comparison with men. We aim to analyze sex and gender differences in the medical assistance, access to treatment and outcome of acute stroke patients in Catalonia. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Data were obtained from a prospective population-based registry of stroke code activations in Catalonia (CICAT) from January/2016 to December/2019. The registry includes demographic data, stroke severity, stroke subtype, reperfusion therapy, and time workflow. Centralized clinical outcome at 90 days was assessed in patients receiving reperfusion therapy. RESULTS: A total of 23,371 stroke code activations were registered (54% men, 46% women). No differences in prehospital time metrics were observed. Women more frequently had a final diagnosis of stroke mimic, were older and had a previous worse functional situation. Among ischemic stroke patients, women had higher stroke severity and more frequently presented proximal large vessel occlusion. Women received more frequently reperfusion therapy (48.2% vs 43.1%, p < 0.001). Women tended to present a worse outcome at 90 days, especially for the group receiving only IVT (good outcome 56.7% vs 63.8%; p < 0.001), but not for the group of patients treated with IVT + MT or MT alone, although sex was not independently associated with clinical outcome in logistic regression analysis (OR 1.07; 95% CI, 0.94-1.23; p = 0.27) nor in the analysis after matching using the propensity score (OR 1.09; 95% CI, 0.97-1.22). DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION: We found some differences by sex in that acute stroke was more frequent in older women and the stroke severity was higher. We found no differences in medical assistance times, access to reperfusion treatment and early complications. Worse clinical outcome at 90 days in women was conditioned by stroke severity and older age, but not by sex itself.

Bayesian regularization to predict neuropsychiatric adverse events in smoking cessation with pharmacotherapy.

BACKGROUND: Research on risk factors for neuropsychiatric adverse events (NAEs) in smoking cessation with pharmacotherapy is scarce. We aimed to identify predictors and develop a prediction model for risk of NAEs in smoking cessation with medications using Bayesian regularization. METHODS: Bayesian regularization was implemented by applying two shrinkage priors, Horseshoe and Laplace, to generalized linear mixed models on data from 1203 patients treated with nicotine patch, varenicline or placebo. Two predictor models were considered to separate summary scores and item scores in the psychosocial instruments. The summary score model had 19 predictors or 26 dummy variables and the item score model 51 predictors or 58 dummy variables. A total of 18 models were investigated. RESULTS: An item score model with Horseshoe prior and 7 degrees of freedom was selected as the final model upon model comparison and assessment. At baseline, smokers reporting more abnormal dreams or nightmares had 16% greater odds of experiencing NAEs during treatment (regularized odds ratio (rOR) = 1.16, 95% credible interval (CrI) = 0.95 - 1.56, posterior probability P(rOR > 1) = 0.90) while those with more severe sleep problems had 9% greater odds (rOR = 1.09, 95% CrI = 0.95 - 1.37, P(rOR > 1) = 0.85). The prouder a person felt one week before baseline resulted in 13% smaller odds of having NAEs (rOR = 0.87, 95% CrI = 0.71 - 1.02, P(rOR < 1) = 0.94). Odds of NAEs were comparable across treatment groups. The final model did not perform well in the test set. CONCLUSIONS: Worse sleep-related symptoms reported at baseline resulted in 85%-90% probability of being more likely to experience NAEs during smoking cessation with pharmacotherapy. Treatment for sleep disturbance should be incorporated in smoking cessation program for smokers with sleep disturbance at baseline. Bayesian regularization with Horseshoe prior permits including more predictors in a regression model when there is a low number of events per variable.

Comprehensive proteomics and platform validation of urinary biomarkers for bladder cancer diagnosis and staging.

BACKGROUND: Bladder cancer (BC) is among the most common cancers diagnosed in men in the USA. The current gold standards for the diagnosis of BC are invasive or lack the sensitivity to correctly identify the disease. METHODS: An aptamer-based screen analyzed the expression of 1317 proteins in BC compared to urology clinic controls. The top hits were subjected to systems biology analyses. Next, 30 urine proteins were ELISA-validated in an independent cohort of 68 subjects. Three of these proteins were next validated in an independent BC cohort of differing ethnicity. RESULTS: Systems biology analysis implicated molecular functions related to the extracellular matrix, collagen, integrin, heparin, and transmembrane tyrosine kinase signaling in BC susceptibility, with HNF4A and NFKB1 emerging as key molecular regulators. STEM analysis of the dysregulated pathways implicated a functional role for the immune system, complement, and interleukins in BC disease progression. Of 21 urine proteins that discriminated BC from urology clinic controls (UC), urine D-dimer displayed the highest accuracy (0.96) and sensitivity of 97%. Furthermore, 8 urine proteins significantly discriminated MIBC from NMIBC (AUC = 0.75-0.99), with IL-8 and IgA being the best performers. Urine IgA and fibronectin exhibited the highest specificity of 80% at fixed sensitivity for identifying advanced BC. CONCLUSIONS: Given the high sensitivity (97%) of urine D-dimer for BC, it may have a role in the initial diagnosis or detection of cancer recurrence. On the other hand, urine IL-8 and IgA may have the potential in identifying disease progression during patient follow-up. The use of these biomarkers for initial triage could have a significant impact as the current cystoscopy-based diagnostic and surveillance approach is costly and invasive when compared to a simple urine test.

Continuous glucose monitoring in individuals undergoing gestational diabetes screening.

BACKGROUND: Among guidelines on gestational diabetes mellitus, there is an incongruity about the threshold of maternal hyperglycemia to diagnose gestational diabetes mellitus. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to ascertain the association between continuous glucose monitoring metrics and adverse outcomes among individuals undergoing gestational diabetes mellitus screening. STUDY DESIGN: This was a prospective study (from June 2020 to January 2022) of individuals who underwent 2-step gestational diabetes mellitus screening at ≤30 weeks of gestation. The participants wore a blinded continuous glucose monitoring device (Dexcom G6 Pro; Dexcom, Inc, San Diego, CA) for 10 days starting when they took the 50-g glucose challenge test. The primary outcome was a composite of adverse neonatal outcomes (large for gestational age, shoulder dystocia or neonatal injury, respiratory distress, need for intravenous glucose treatment for hypoglycemia, or fetal or neonatal death). The secondary neonatal outcomes included preterm birth, neonatal intensive care unit admission, hypoglycemia, mechanical ventilation or continuous positive airway pressure, hyperbilirubinemia, and hospital length of stay. The secondary maternal outcomes included weight gain during pregnancy, hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, induction of labor, cesarean delivery, and postpartum complications. Time within the target range (63-140 mg/dL), time above the target range (>140 mg/dL) expressed as a percentage of all continuous glucose monitoring readings, and mean glucose level were analyzed. The Youden index was used to choose the threshold of ≥10% for the time above the target range and association with adverse outcomes. RESULTS: Of 136 participants recruited, data were available from 92 individuals (67.6%). The 2-step method diagnosed gestational diabetes mellitus in 2 individuals (2.2%). Continuous glucose monitoring indicated that 17 individuals (18.5%) had time above the target range of ≥10%. Individuals with time above the target range of ≥10% had a significantly higher likelihood of composite adverse neonatal outcomes than individuals with time above the target range of <10% (63% vs 18%; P=.001). Furthermore, compared with neonates born to individuals with time above the target range of <10%, neonates born to individuals with time above the target range of ≥10% had an increased likelihood for hypoglycemia (14.5% vs 47%; P=.009) and had a longer length of stay (2 vs 4 days; P=.03). No difference in maternal outcomes was noted between the groups. CONCLUSION: In this prospective study of individuals undergoing gestational diabetes mellitus screening, a cutoff of the time above the target range of ≥10% using continuous glucose monitoring was associated with a higher rate of neonatal adverse outcomes. A randomized trial of continuous glucose monitoring vs 2-step screening for gestational diabetes mellitus to lower the rate of adverse outcomes is underway (identification number: NCT05430204).